Educom Review table of contents
May/June 1999
This article was published in Educom Review, Volume 34 Number 3 1999. The copyright is copyright is shared by the author(s) and EDUCAUSE. See http://www.educause.edu/copyright.html for additional copyright information.
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TECHWATCH

ONLINE SURFERS AVERAGE SIX HOURS A WEEK ON THE NET
A recent poll conducted by Louis Harris and Associates indicates that the average online computer user in the U.S. spends six hours a week surfing the Web. That time does not include sending and receiving e-mail, which is the most popular online activity. Sixty-three percent of online users say they use e-mail "often," a 10% increase since September 1998. The next most popular activity (39%) was conducting research for work or school. Thirty-one percent of users shop online, with books the most frequently purchased item (software ranked in second place). (Reuters 24 Mar 99)

TRENCH WARFARE IN THE INFORMATION AGE
The National Research Council has issued a report warning that military forces are not giving sufficiently serious attention to their Command, Control, Communications, Computers and Intelligence Systems (known as C4I). "The rate at which information systems are being relied on outstrips the rate at which they are being protected. The time needed to develop and deploy effective defenses in cyberspace is much longer than the time required to develop and mount an attack." Military analyst Kenneth Allard says, "Twenty-first century combat is the war of the databases, in which information flow must go from the foxhole to the White House and back down again." (AP 22 Mar 99)

E-BUSINESS INSURANCE
A unit of insurance giant Marsh & McLennan Co. will begin offering clients "e-business" insurance under its Net Secure coverage. The policy is intended to protect companies from damages caused by hackers, viruses, "spammers" or other Internet perils that could disrupt their businesses or expose them to liability lawsuits. Net Secure also will provide a preset amount of compensation for loss of "intellectual property" stored on a network that has been violated. Although other insurance companies also offer "e-business" insurance, a spokeswoman for Marsh & McLennan says her company's coverage limit of $200 million is among the highest available in the industry. (Wall Street Journal 22 Mar 99)

NIH EYES PLAN FOR ONLINE PREPRINT PUBLISHING
The National Institutes of Health (NIH) is considering a plan to build a Web-based public clearinghouse for biomedical research papers. The project has the backing of NIH Director Harold Varmus and a number of other high-ranking public health officials, but the agency says it's not ready to discuss specifics at this point. One dilemma has been how to avoid siphoning off too much income from some scientific societies that rely on their publishing activities for continued viability. The NIH site likely would be modeled loosely on the e-print archives at Los Alamos National Laboratory, which have become a major repository for information on physics and astronomy. A "streamlined" peer review process would ensure that information stored on the NIH site would have merit among the biomedical community. (Science 12 Mar 99)

AUSTRALIA TO CRACK DOWN ON INTERNET PORN
The Australian government says it will introduce legislation as soon as possible to ban all illegal or X-rated material on Australia-based Web sites, and will limit access to soft porn to people over 18. The government would require Internet service providers to remove Australian sites that carry such material if ordered to do so by the Australian Broadcasting Authority. Meanwhile, the head of the Internet Industry Association, which counts two of Australia's biggest ISPs as members, says, "It's simply impracticle for local ISPs and carriers to block material that's coming from offshore," and that what's really needed is more self-regulation by the industry, combined with parental supervision and international coordination. "We would love to see the government provide the funding for educational materials so that parents can learn about things they can do in the home." (Reuters 19 Mar 99)

APPLE OPENS UP ITS SERVER OPERATING SYSTEM
Apple is taking an "open source" approach to the new "Darwin" operating system it has developed for its server computers, called Mac OS X Servers. "Open source" makes the source code freely available, and is growing in popularity because of the increased stability and security made possible when large numbers of programmers and software developers are continuously testing the software and fixing problems. Darwin will function as a platform for server programs that coordinate the shared operations in work groups and other environments. It is a variant of the Unix operating system, and includes the operating system inner software "kernel" known as Mach, as well as a set of services based on the Berkeley Systems Design version of Unix. (New York Times 17 Mar 99)

INFORMATION-AGE ECONOMY IS HERE
Replacing an industry classification that has existed for 60 years, the U.S. Commerce Department has introduced a new system that recognizes this leap into the information age. Using the new system, the government reports that in 1997 computers and electronics manufacturing accounted for 1.7 million of the country's jobs at 17,000 locations. The Commerce Department also says that more e-mail than snail mail was sent in 1997, and that U.S. consumers bought more computers than automobiles. [The report is silent on the question of whether there were more computer crashes than automobile crashes, but if there weren't the highways would be impassable.] The government developed the new classification system because "in an information-based economy, the quality of information determines the quality of policy." (USA Today 17 Mar 99)

DISSENTING VOICES ON COMPUTERS IN THE CLASSROOM
In defiance of the conventional wisdom that it would be desirable (in the words of President Clinton) to connect "every classroom in America to the Internet by the year 2000," there are increasingly vocal critics of the use of computers in K-12 instruction. One of the leaders of this defiance is William L. Rukeyser of the nonprofit Learning in the Real World organization, who says: "So many programs were being slaughtered by this perception that if it didn't involve computers, it wasn't worth anything. I quickly realized that there was this tremendous faith that computers were in fact some plaster saint that would save the day." He adds, "We're not pushing our brand of solution, and we're not saying that the emperor has no clothes. We're just asking, 'Is his tie on straight and do his socks match?'" (New York Times 17 Mar 99)

NEW VIRUSES TARGET PROTECTED FILES
Two cryptographers have published a paper describing a new generation of computer viruses that seek out the long keys used by "strong" encryption programs and attach themselves to documents protected by those keys. The randomness of the bits in encryption keys is what makes them stand out, as most information on a computer's hard drive is stored in an orderly fashion. The cryptographers recommend that network managers store keys on smart cards rather than on a computer's hard drive, and securely delete them every time they're used. For added protection, encryption programs could spread a key among different memory locations, or all the data on a computer's hard drive could be encrypted, so that the entire contents appear to be random. (Data Communications 15 Mar 99)

COMING TO TERMS WITH BYTES
Computer terminology is becoming more precise: the International Electrotechnical Commission, which creates standards for electronic technologies, is adopting new prefixes to describe data values. The new term "kibibyte" will more accurately describe the number of bytes in a kilobyte -- rather than being 1,000, as could be inferred by the prefix "kilo," a kilobyte actually has 1,024 (2 to the 10th power) bytes. The metric prefixes currently employed -- kilo, mega, giga, etc. -- accumulate as a power of 10, rather than the binary system used in computer code. Thus, the Commission will use kibi, mebi, gibi, tebi , pebi and exbi to express exponentially increasing binary multiples (2 to the 10th power, 2 to the 20th power, etc.). "There was a need to straighten this out," says Barry Taylor of the National Institute of Standards and Technology. (Science 12 Mar 99)

MOBILE E-MAIL READY FOR TAKEOFF
A new class of devices that combine the features of mobile phones and laptops is set to launch, enabling users to dial into corporate networks and the Internet regardless of where they are. "The Internet is the killer app for wireless data," says a product manager at 3Com's Palm Computing division. By 2002, nearly 12.6 million U.S. consumers will be spending more than $5 billion to connect to wireless networks, according to market research firm Telecompetition, a four-fold increase over the number of wireless data network users last year. Industry experts predict that combination devices that do everything -- fax, e-mail, scheduling -- will not fare as well in the market as lighter-weight application-specific devices. "The only combination device the American public has bought in great numbers is the clock-radio," says the chairman of the Portable Computer and Communications Association. (Los Angeles Times 15 Mar 99)

RENO WANTS KIDS TO LEARN CYBERSPACE ETHICS
Announcing new government and industry initiatives to promote cyberspace ethics, Attorney General Janet Reno said, "All children know it's wrong to break into a neighbor's house or read your best friend's diary. Unfortunately, fewer realize that it's wrong to break into their neighbor's computers and snoop through their computer files." (AP 15 Mar 99)

MOST Y2K FIXES WILL LAST ONLY A GENERATION
The fix used to patch 80% of the world's computers to avert a Y2K crisis is actually only a short-term remedy called "windowing." Rather than using a permanent fix called "expansion," which requires transforming all two-digit year-dates found in software into four-digit year-dates, the "windowing" patch is a trick that forces software to "guess" whether dates fall in the 1900s or the 2000s; typically, lower numbers (perhaps up to 30) will belong to the new century, whereas higher numbers (such as 87) will belong to the old century. Although many experts say this is the only practical way to solve the problem, others are warning that the "windowing" approach is just pushing the problem under the rug for awhile. Keith Rhodes of the General Accounting Office says, "It's like the Fram oil filter guy: You can pay me now or you can pay me later. It's not solving your problem. It's delaying the inevitable." (San Jose Mercury News 15 Mar 99)

Y2K PROGNOSTICATORS CHEERING UP
A growing number of Y2K experts are beginning to cheer up a bit about the prospects for millennium doom, and now predict things won't be so bad after all come Jan. 1, 2000. Edward Yardeni, chief economist for Deutsche Bank Securities, has revised his estimate for the chance of a long global recession triggered by the glitch, from a 70% chance to 45%. "I've toned down the message partly because progress has been made. I would be happy to back off entirely." And some of the problems previously cited as particularly vexing -- for instance, embedded microprocessors in power plants and hospitals that would be difficult to repair -- seem to have been overstated. Giga Information Group recently released a report titled "It May Rain, but the Sky Won't Fall," that said the problems with embedded microprocessors "will not have the crippling effect originally thought." "There won't be a systemic shutdown," says a senior advisor for Giga who estimates only about 3% of the chips have been found to have minor problems. "You will have some localized inconveniences with some localized failures." (Los Angeles Times 12 Mar 99)

MOTOROLA SUES INTEL OVER WORKERS' MINDS
Motorola is seeking injunctions against Intel from hiring key Motorola knowledge-workers in order to get access to secrets they take with them in their heads. A Motorola executive explains, "It became obvious that our intellectual property and knowledge was significantly at risk here. We don't want them to place these former employees in a position where they will disclose our trade secrets." (San Jose Mercury News 12 Mar 99)

EMULATING SUCCESS
Emulation, which enables new computers and software to "emulate" previous versions in order to run older software, is on the rise, spurred on by the rapid turnover in hardware and software in the past couple of years. And rather than just translating instructions in order to perform equivalent operations on the new machines, new dynamic recompiling emulators go on to analyze how the new code works and translate the clumsiest bits all over again in order to improve efficiency. TeraGen's emulator follows the route taken by Intel to make its new chips compatible with earlier microprocessors: it translates the intricate instructions favored by earlier chip designers into micro-operations, which can be rearranged by the processor to improve performance. (The Economist 13-19 Mar 99)

DOMAIN NAMES DROPPED FROM INTERNIC DATABASE
Internic -- the Internet domain name administration arm of Network Solutions Inc. -- dropped thousands of names from its database last week, preventing e-mail messages addressed to those names from being delivered. Users whose names were lost will be forced to get new ones from Network Solutions -- something that's caused critics to accuse the company of ulterior motives: "They [NSI] seem to be embarking on a campaign to benefit their [domain name registration] system," says the VP of one ISP. An NSI spokeswoman denied the charges: "This is part of targeting people who register thousands of domains and sell them for a profit." NSI will lose its monopoly over domain administration in September 2000, when the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN) takes over. (Data Communications 10 Mar 99)

ALL INFORMATION ALL THE TIME
Brian Halla, chairman and CEO of National Semiconductor Corp., predicts that the information appliance market will dwarf the PC market: "Man will be surrounded by these information appliances. We always use the analogy of the electric motor. All day long you've been surrounded by electric motors. And you've never once thought about the electric motor, certainly not about who made the electric motor. It's the same with these information appliances. Literally, in the information age -- we're not quite there yet -- but man will want an infinite amount of information instantaneously, any time, anywhere. And it'll be interactive. That means he won't want to carry his box around with him, but he'll always want access to the database. . . . When a consumer gets in his car, he'll look at the dashboard and say, 'E-mail, please.' And that's different from being in the age of the computer. It's not like you're going to sit at your desk and calculate prime numbers. You want to sit at your desk and get access to the Web and your database on the Web. And you want to do the same thing when you're sitting on an airplane. You'll stick your card in the back of the airplane seat in front of you and have access to your database." (Investor's Business Daily 11 Mar 99)

JOURNALISTS TOLD NOT TO SPREAD Y2K FEARS
Federal Reserve Board member Edward W. Kelley Jr. is cautioning journalists to avoid undermining Americans' confidence in the banking system with overblown and unwarranted reports about the Y2K problem. He said, "If glitches occur or problems loom, report fully on them of course, but make sure to place the problem in an appropriate context." There needs to be concern about "the possibility of our citizenry becoming so overly worried about what might happen that there could be the very type of problem we are working so hard to prevent." But Kelley should be somewhat reassured by a new USA Today/Gallup Poll for the National Science Foundation indicating that only 21% of Americans now expect major problems in 2000 -- a percentage down from 34% just three months ago. (USA Today 10 Mar 99)

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